[reggie1]

Sides, 98-90 +16.18
Totals, 12-11, +1.60
Year, 110-101, +17.78

If McKenna wasn’t making the big trip back to Creighton next game, I woulda played em. If Kentucky didn’t have numerous injuries, same story, would’ve played em. And I liked a team against Michigan State, imagine that. I liked SIU, not at 6. If I could have gotten 5.5 w/ Penn State, probably would’ve invested in the ML. And this is what we have left…

In only their second true road tilt of the year, I’m going to back Oklahoma State. They come in winners of 5 straight, 4 of them against nobodies, but that can raise the confidence. Sure, they looked pathetic against Illinois and Marquette earlier in the year, but who didn’t look pathetic in Hawaii, except for Duke. They got blasted at Pitt, big deal. More of a fade on Baylor here, in my opinion. In the last three meetings, we’ve seen a 4, 4, and a three point ballgame by either squad. Give a team expectations, and you’ll get some inflated lines. Take a look at Baylor’s last two ballgames. A –11.5 and a –16 from a squad who probably hadn’t been favored by that much over anybody since I don’t even want to look it up. So, we got a +7, even more inflated than the opener of a +5. Baylor’s going for history, they’re looking to become 14-2 or something like that. What you don’t want, as a –7 point favorite is someone who is gonna come in your gym and dictate the tempo. Both these teams play a top 100 pace, while Oklahoma State plays slightly faster. Both teams are similar in defensive efficiency. In fact, the only other team Baylor’s played in the top 90 is Washington State, a loss. And keep in mind, while these #’s don’t really mean a whole lot, Baylor’s #’s have come against a #293 strength of schedule. Does playing Brown, Florida A&M, Southern, Wayland Baptist, Centenary, and Jackson State get you ready for Big 12 play? I think Baylor found out it wasn’t enough after trailing against a poor offense in Iowa State in the B-12 opener. Don’t get me wrong, Baylor has some scorers, and a plethora of guard play, but I just think 7 is a wee bit much here in a game that will be dictated in terms of pace by the opponent coming into your gym in a setting that you haven’t seen since the 2H collapse at Arkansas 10 days ago…

I’ll also bite on Boston College here too. More program history at stake as Miami aims for it’s best start since 2001 I believe. Going on the road for the first time in the ACC is a challenge, doing it against a club you’ve lost twelve straight to in the series is an even bigger challenge, and doing it against someone who’s been at home for eight straight games in their normal routine is an even bigger challenge. With what’s at stake, I’d think Miami is under a bit of pressure here, to end the streak, to get out to the fast start, you got North Carolina and Clemson coming to town in a week, and all of that on the heels of a 10% performance from 3-point land in your last outing. Obviously hate playing a team after a 112 point outing, but it only adds confidence to BC’s young squad.

And I like, BYU too.

3* Oklahoma State +7
2* BYU +2
1* Boston College ML –130

GL